world-economy

Anthropic Expected to Quickly Restore Restricted AI Model Access

Prediction market traders are betting Anthropic will restore access to its Fable 5 model within months after the company disabled the technology following a U.S. government order. Market participants on Kalshi assign a 58% probability the model returns to U.S. users before July 1, with odds climbing to 74% by July 10. On Polymarket, traders place 67% odds on restoration. Anthropic suspended Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to comply with federal directives restricting access by foreign nationals both domestically and abroad. The company met with Trump administration officials Monday to discuss the restriction, though no details emerged on whether discussions produced progress. Anthropic previously faced regulatory scrutiny when the Department of Defense designated it a supply chain risk in March. The model restriction came days after its announcement, marking a significant setback for the AI firm.