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Diesel Futures Spike 20 Cents as Inventory Crisis Deepens

FW Desk News

FreightWatch.News

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Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Ultra-low sulfur diesel futures surged roughly 20 cents in two hours Tuesday morning, marking a sharp reversal after trading negative the previous day. The volatile swing underscores mounting pressure on trucking operations already contending with depleted fuel stocks and dwindling policy levers to stabilize markets.

The Trump administration's allowance for red-dyed diesel—typically restricted to tax-exempt agricultural and off-road use—faces structural obstacles. Major fuel retailers including Love's, TA, and Pilot lack infrastructure to segregate and dispense red-dyed product before the program expires December 31. Congressional restrictions also prevent executive action on federal excise tax exemptions tied to the fuel type.

Internationally, a proposed diesel export ban was withdrawn two weeks prior. In response, G7 nations and allied economies committed to releasing approximately 100 million barrels of crude and refined products into global markets. According to market observers, prices could exceed $6 per gallon amid constrained supply responses.

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