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Market Traders Anticipate Major China Deals During Trump Beijing Visit

Prediction market traders are pricing in significant announcements from President Donald Trump's upcoming bilateral meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing. Traders on Kalshi assign an 86% probability that China will commit to a major Boeing aircraft purchase. The purchase could represent triple-digit billions in value. Boeing shares gained nearly 2% on the speculation. Traders also see better than 81% odds that the U.S. and China will extend their tariff truce. Previously, Beijing paused export controls on rare earths while Washington reduced fentanyl-related tariffs from 20% to 10%. An 79% probability has been assigned to a Chinese soybean purchase announcement, though oil sales carry just 24% odds. Market participants expect any additional Chinese purchases could drive tariffs down several percentage points further.