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May Seasonal Weakness Fails to Materialize in 2026 US Stock Markets

The traditional market adage to sell equities in May is proving unreliable this year. US stocks are defying historical seasonal patterns. The Iran conflict continues to create inflationary pressures. Yet investors have maintained equity positions rather than rotating out of the market. Market participants are reassessing conventional wisdom around May trading dynamics. Geopolitical risk premiums persist in commodity markets, but the anticipated pullback in equities has not materialized. Analysts note that 30-year Treasury yields could face upward pressure given inflation concerns. This could reshape year-end forecasts for fixed income allocation strategies.