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Monday, November 9, 2026
Nvidia's board is investigating Chief Executive Jensen Huang following disclosures that he engaged in an extramarital affair with a woman U.S. intelligence officials identify as a spy for China's Ministry of State Security. Huang acknowledged the relationship on Sunday. Despite the probe, prediction market traders assess relatively low odds of his departure. On Kalshi, speculators estimate just a 17% probability Huang leaves by 2027, with odds rising to 30% by 2028 and 35% by 2029. On Polymarket, one-in-four odds are quoted for his resignation or forced exit by March 2027. Longer-term, traders assign a 75% likelihood of his departure by 2031. Nvidia shares declined more than 5% following the disclosure.
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