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Polymarket Extends Private Markets Access to Retail Investors

Polymarket launched prediction markets tied to private company milestones, enabling retail investors to speculate on valuations and IPO timing for companies including OpenAI and Anthropic without purchasing equity stakes.

Nasdaq Private Market will serve as the exclusive resolution data provider for contracts, marking the first time valuation data will be made publicly available without subscription fees.

Current markets include whether OpenAI will have a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 and whether Anthropic reaches $500 billion in 2026. Another contract wagers on whether Anthropic's valuation exceeds OpenAI's this year.

More than 1,600 companies valued at $1 billion or higher remain private, typically accessible only to accredited investors and institutions. The prediction markets allow ordinary investors to gain exposure to private market movements while avoiding ownership restrictions.